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Oct 13, 2012
10/12
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here's to back it up, a tampa bay times/miami herald poll, a bigger romney lead. clearly, romney momentum. the obama campaign says it's not that big in florida but he's pulling up into at least a tie, maybe slightly ahead. that's not all. let's start out in the west. look at battleground state polls out here since the first debate. nevada on your left, colorado on your right. a dead heat in nevada, dead heat in colorado. romney's been doing well in the west holding his own. he's boosted his standing a bit since the first debate in the two battlegrounds out there. come over to the heartland, in the state of ohio, you see here, again, he was down a lot in wisconsin before the first presidential debate. that's paul ryan's home state. he's pulled into a statistical tie. this one's a bit more troublesome for the romney campaign. they are closer in ohio than before the first debate but still behind. the president has kept a small but steady lead in the state of ohio. that one's a bit of a problem for romney but he's at least closer from before the debate. after the deba
here's to back it up, a tampa bay times/miami herald poll, a bigger romney lead. clearly, romney momentum. the obama campaign says it's not that big in florida but he's pulling up into at least a tie, maybe slightly ahead. that's not all. let's start out in the west. look at battleground state polls out here since the first debate. nevada on your left, colorado on your right. a dead heat in nevada, dead heat in colorado. romney's been doing well in the west holding his own. he's boosted his...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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romney was getting hammered in the polls. keeping them honest though, disputing or downplaying the obvious, that's what campaigns do on both sides. >> it's not going to be about the polls. >> i wouldn't put a lot of weight in any of these national polls for the next couple days. >> in terms of mitt romney surging, just remember how much of a deficit he had to make up. he was in some cases double digits behind the president in all those attributes. >> pull back the reins. >> the media is focusing on one poll. >> that's reaction to the recent batch of polling, including that devastating pew poll that showed a four point romney lead. now consider that pew took an earlier poll in september a couple weeks before the debate, it was the republicans going ballistic when it showed romney eight points down. watch. >> these polls are basically just part and parcel of the campaign for barack obama to help him stay in this game as long as possible. >> if you believe what the polls are saying right now, you've got to believe that there's s
romney was getting hammered in the polls. keeping them honest though, disputing or downplaying the obvious, that's what campaigns do on both sides. >> it's not going to be about the polls. >> i wouldn't put a lot of weight in any of these national polls for the next couple days. >> in terms of mitt romney surging, just remember how much of a deficit he had to make up. he was in some cases double digits behind the president in all those attributes. >> pull back the reins....
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. >> 18 point swing in one poll is huge. >> if we were to see that number confirmed by other poll, romney would be the favorite but it's not what we're seeing in the bulk of data. sometimes there can be a tendency to take a big headline number, when we're getting 15 or 20 polls released. if romney is doing that well among women, we will see the result confirmed by other polls quite soon. >> his people also believe that he did well from the debate independents, men, the elderly in particular. that's what their own internal polling is showing. would you agree with that? >> in the debate he was able to reposition himself toward the center of the electorate. last time we talked about, this is something very strange where romney has been playing to the base, even to some extent at his convention, he was doing that. but he shifted towards the center and obama was a little bit feeble in trying to rebut that. that's an important factor. historically candidates who can appear to be in the middle of the electorate tend to win and those on the wings tend to lose. that was a big strategic gain romney
. >> 18 point swing in one poll is huge. >> if we were to see that number confirmed by other poll, romney would be the favorite but it's not what we're seeing in the bulk of data. sometimes there can be a tendency to take a big headline number, when we're getting 15 or 20 polls released. if romney is doing that well among women, we will see the result confirmed by other polls quite soon. >> his people also believe that he did well from the debate independents, men, the elderly...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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CURRENT
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the gallup poll showed president obama under mitt romney. how do they come back after a such a large gap? >> that 72% likely seems large, but those numbers are often dictated by the spin that comes after a debate performance, so it's probably a little bit artificially high for those who saw the debate. that being said i think the president needs to get back into the driver's seat. it has really only been the last several months that we has taken off in a position of strong play. he needs to give the base a reason to be excited. if there's anything to worry about, it's the enthusiasm numbers, and those are the easiest to impact on a moments notice. if like michelle said he's aggressive on the stump in articulating his vision but also tying it back to how his record has impacted people in this country, and how his plans and romney's plans will do that in the future. >> joy: and michelle there was a battle groub poll that shows nation wise 86% of romney supports are extremely likely to vote. so the question is how does the president energize re
the gallup poll showed president obama under mitt romney. how do they come back after a such a large gap? >> that 72% likely seems large, but those numbers are often dictated by the spin that comes after a debate performance, so it's probably a little bit artificially high for those who saw the debate. that being said i think the president needs to get back into the driver's seat. it has really only been the last several months that we has taken off in a position of strong play. he needs...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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MSNBC
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earlier we talked about the polls and mitt romney on the move. mitt romney spent 90 minutes on the stage lying about everything he claimed to stand for prior to the debate. he lied about his tax plan, he lied about his health care plan, he lied about medicare and medicaid and social security, he lied about deregulation, he lied about jobs, he lied about education. think about this. after campaigning for 18 months on a tax plan for the job creators there that will reduce their taxes 20% on personal income, cut capital gains taxes and business taxes, romney stood on stage with president obama and denied all of that. he told the american people that he really didn't have a plan, which my friends, is completely a 180. after saying it, every campaign stop for 18 months that he would repeal obama care on day one, he stood before the american people and said his plan would take care of preexisting conditions. after the debate, his campaign admitted it would not. romney says his health care plan, which passed in massachusetts, would be good for states. b
earlier we talked about the polls and mitt romney on the move. mitt romney spent 90 minutes on the stage lying about everything he claimed to stand for prior to the debate. he lied about his tax plan, he lied about his health care plan, he lied about medicare and medicaid and social security, he lied about deregulation, he lied about jobs, he lied about education. think about this. after campaigning for 18 months on a tax plan for the job creators there that will reduce their taxes 20% on...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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just last month in the same poll, romney trailed by eight points. driving romney surge, a spike in republican enthusiasm, more republicans made it through pew's likely voter screen than democrats. and a larger group of registered voters, the candidates are tied at 46. while it's unlikely returns on election day make it unlikely in this pew sample that romney has the upper hand. and looking inside the pew numbers, we're looking at an unlikely -- now romney leads by six, 50-44. will we see that same shift in the battleground state polls? we'll have to see what happened what happens. >> this is the last day for voters to register to vote there, that's why they're both there. romney kicks off a two-day ohio journey, he'll be back in ohio again on friday. meanwhile the president holds an evening rally at ohio state university in columbus. by the way romney starts his day on a family farm in central iowa. another midwestern battleground state. paul ryan does his debate prep today in florida. the vice president signalled a new urgency to voters saying, quo
just last month in the same poll, romney trailed by eight points. driving romney surge, a spike in republican enthusiasm, more republicans made it through pew's likely voter screen than democrats. and a larger group of registered voters, the candidates are tied at 46. while it's unlikely returns on election day make it unlikely in this pew sample that romney has the upper hand. and looking inside the pew numbers, we're looking at an unlikely -- now romney leads by six, 50-44. will we see that...
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a brand new poll of likely voters showing mitt romney out ahead and leading the president 49-45%. and look at this. since last month, the president is down six percentage points in that same poll. now, it is just one poll, but take a closer look at the numbers and there may be some pretty red flags out there for the incumbent. voters say romney did a better job at the debate on wednesday night. 66 to 20%. and that has helped change some voters views of governor romney. he's now polled even with obama among voters who see him as a quote strong leader. just last month, romney was trailing in that category, trailing, not just by a little. by 13 points, in fact. another contributing factor to obama's slide, women. this might be a surprise, but women are now evenly divided in their support of the two candidates. take a look at your screen. just last month, obama led romney by 18 points among women, so that is big. and keep in mind obama won this voting block by 13 points in 2008, so it's getting even bigger. another contributing factor to romney's big gains, voters say they think he's
a brand new poll of likely voters showing mitt romney out ahead and leading the president 49-45%. and look at this. since last month, the president is down six percentage points in that same poll. now, it is just one poll, but take a closer look at the numbers and there may be some pretty red flags out there for the incumbent. voters say romney did a better job at the debate on wednesday night. 66 to 20%. and that has helped change some voters views of governor romney. he's now polled even with...
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Oct 11, 2012
10/12
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cnn poll has it at four. clearly, still a lot of work for romney. let's keep going. virginia, we saw polls before the first presidential debate starting to stretch outside the margin. back to a dead heat. that's nbc news "wall street journal" mars poll and down to florida and here's another one. it started to open up a handful. there is no question, no question, the race changed after the the first presidential debate. romney got a bounce. but when you get a bounce, the challenge is to sustain it. that's the big challenge. can paul ryan keep the republican momentum? >> so, it's narrowed in these battleground state, but is there any indication that first debate created new battleground states? >> some evidence. i'm a bit skeptical. but one state where the numbers changed, mitt romney's birth state of michigan. his dad was governor there. our cnn poll had it close to ten points. looked like no way the republicans could put that into play. three points. so that's within the margin of error. that sheds michigan back into play. do the democrats now think we have to spend
cnn poll has it at four. clearly, still a lot of work for romney. let's keep going. virginia, we saw polls before the first presidential debate starting to stretch outside the margin. back to a dead heat. that's nbc news "wall street journal" mars poll and down to florida and here's another one. it started to open up a handful. there is no question, no question, the race changed after the the first presidential debate. romney got a bounce. but when you get a bounce, the challenge is...
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Oct 13, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWSW
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where do you think and why do you think for mitt romney, the swing state polls have swung so far back. is it just the debate or the normal reassessment that goes on in the campaign or what? >> several reasons, neal. you touched on a few of them and let me thank you for having me on your program. you always get closer when a presidential campaign gets close to the election and it is bound to tighten up and a lot of people are undecided . the debate was helpful and we hoped for a signal and we got a grand slam and number three paul ryan did an excellent job in his debate against the vice-president. and number four, people are very concerned about the fiscal cliff that you are talking about this morning. you are spot on, neal and number five, people are concerned about the spending and they know if they don't change the direction of the country, we'll have a fiscal cliff and could have a fiscal melt down and they are looking to a new direction and that is with mitt romney and paul ryan and tommy thompson. >> and what if they get e mitt romney and paul ryan and it is not tommy thompson. b
where do you think and why do you think for mitt romney, the swing state polls have swung so far back. is it just the debate or the normal reassessment that goes on in the campaign or what? >> several reasons, neal. you touched on a few of them and let me thank you for having me on your program. you always get closer when a presidential campaign gets close to the election and it is bound to tighten up and a lot of people are undecided . the debate was helpful and we hoped for a signal and...
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Oct 14, 2012
10/12
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CNN
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i think our cnn poll of polls had a three-point edge, actually, at this point for governor romney. what decides this election, or is it multi-determined? >> it is multi-determined, and one thing you can bank on, the florida election will be close on election night, where i think -- >> do you think? >> maybe. maybe. i think -- i think it all depends on these next two debates. it's fair to say that i think, you know, governor romney has a three-point lead in some polls. mason dixon had him with a seven-point lead. i think it's in the three, four point range. this election could maybe not be close. >> do you sense it moving away from -- clearly, al senses it moving away from the president in florida. do you sense that? >> no, not at all. the obama team has registered more voters in florida than we ever dreamed to do. we've got more than 100 offices on the ground, but most importantly, the economic facts in florida -- florida went through a very difficult time. 220,000 new jobs in florida in the last 31 months. president supports a robust space program. the differences on medicare, the
i think our cnn poll of polls had a three-point edge, actually, at this point for governor romney. what decides this election, or is it multi-determined? >> it is multi-determined, and one thing you can bank on, the florida election will be close on election night, where i think -- >> do you think? >> maybe. maybe. i think -- i think it all depends on these next two debates. it's fair to say that i think, you know, governor romney has a three-point lead in some polls. mason...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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governor romney taking the lead in the polls in the latest pew polls governor romney leading president obama 49% to 45%. now last month he trailed by eight points. so can governor romney keep the momentum going or is he just on a political roller coaster? former senator fred thompson joins us. good evening, sir. >> good evening. >> greta: the republicans are dancing right now, but i wouldn't measure the drapes yet. >> no, no. still got a lot of campaign to go. but i think that for the first time people got a chance to see mitt romney and a little closer look at barack obama. you know, he hasn't been in that setting in a long time. i wasn't really surprised either case. nobody's ever accused romney of -- i mean obama of being a great debater. his only eloquence is off the teleprompter, in which he's very good at delivering a set piece, but not in that format. romney, on the other hand, has gotten better and better over several years, and down in florida is a good example of what he did, you know. he's been called everything and faced with every kind of issue imaginable. you know, he's a
governor romney taking the lead in the polls in the latest pew polls governor romney leading president obama 49% to 45%. now last month he trailed by eight points. so can governor romney keep the momentum going or is he just on a political roller coaster? former senator fred thompson joins us. good evening, sir. >> good evening. >> greta: the republicans are dancing right now, but i wouldn't measure the drapes yet. >> no, no. still got a lot of campaign to go. but i think that...
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Oct 15, 2012
10/12
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KGO
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another new poll has romney up 50-48% across 10 battleground states. if president obama is to be effective tomorrow night it will have to be in the town hall style debate where voters can ask questions of him and governor romney. t.j. winick, abc news, new york. >> we'll carry the debate live tomorrow night starting at 6:00. >>> i'm peeking over your shoulder lisa, i see at&t park and the fog is gone. >> should be nice this evening but the winds are going to pick up and the fog is coming back. as we head out now, looks nice another beautiful day to enjoy before high fire danger comes back. this is vollmer peak you can see high clouds, east bay sunny for much of the morning temperatures approaching 70° if some spots. closer to home, the -- ballpark lots of sun, numbers climbing through the 60s throughout the afternoon winds shows we still have fog left, especially over the bay around mountain view,an jose, a couple patches at our coast. this should ail clear and that will leave sunny conditions. 72 fairfield now, -- three to six degrees warmer than yes
another new poll has romney up 50-48% across 10 battleground states. if president obama is to be effective tomorrow night it will have to be in the town hall style debate where voters can ask questions of him and governor romney. t.j. winick, abc news, new york. >> we'll carry the debate live tomorrow night starting at 6:00. >>> i'm peeking over your shoulder lisa, i see at&t park and the fog is gone. >> should be nice this evening but the winds are going to pick up and...
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Oct 11, 2012
10/12
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CNN
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polls showing romney down seven, eight, even nine points. in all the battleground states and national polls romney's coming up. that's the momentum the republicans hope to keep in tonight's debate. >> john, is there any evidence right now that this debate -- that last week's debate has put some states in play that presumably weren't in play? >> there's some evidence. that's a fascinating question. this is a key point in the campaign. where are we going to spend ad dollars? where are we going to send the vice president and paul ryan? governor romney has been trying for a long time to put his birth state, michigan, in play. we had a poll suggested that was unlikely to happen. this is after the debate. a reputable polling firm from the state of michigan, a three-point race. we'll watch and see if it lasts. sometimes the bounces dissipate. at the moment the democrats might have to worry more about michigan. another state romney has long wanted to put in play is battleground pennsylvania. been out of reach in most polls. here's one snapshot, but
polls showing romney down seven, eight, even nine points. in all the battleground states and national polls romney's coming up. that's the momentum the republicans hope to keep in tonight's debate. >> john, is there any evidence right now that this debate -- that last week's debate has put some states in play that presumably weren't in play? >> there's some evidence. that's a fascinating question. this is a key point in the campaign. where are we going to spend ad dollars? where are...
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Oct 11, 2012
10/12
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to a "new york times"/cbs poll, mitt romney leads the president by one point in colorado. last month the president was up one point in that state. in virginia, president obama's lead from last month grew slightly. he's now up 51%-46%. and in wisconsin, the candidates are within the margin of error after the president lost a point from last month and mitt romney gained two. in all three battleground states, voters by double digits believe the economy is getting better compared to the numbers back in july. >> and mark halperin, that may be the big takeaway from this poll. the race is getting much closer. nobody can predict what's going to happen. if you look at a big friend, thoug trend, you've got to look at a lot of americans in these swing states are looking at the economy saying things are getting better. >> it's clearly a huge factor and yet, obviously, the debate from denver is also a huge factor. i think, you know, we look a lot at the margin of error, and these numbers aren't shifting all that much. what's key is in a lot of the states the president is below 50. that
to a "new york times"/cbs poll, mitt romney leads the president by one point in colorado. last month the president was up one point in that state. in virginia, president obama's lead from last month grew slightly. he's now up 51%-46%. and in wisconsin, the candidates are within the margin of error after the president lost a point from last month and mitt romney gained two. in all three battleground states, voters by double digits believe the economy is getting better compared to the...
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Oct 15, 2012
10/12
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KOFY
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another new poll has romney up 50-48% across 10 battleground states. if president obama is to be effective tomorrow night it will have to be in the town hall style debate where voters can ask questions of him and governor romney. t.j. winick, abc news, new york. >> we'll carry the debate live tomorrow night starting at 6:00. >>> i'm peeking over your shoulder lisa, i see at&t park and the fog is gone. >> should be nice this evening but the winds are going to pick up and the fog is coming back. as we head out now, looks nice another beautiful day to enjoy before high fire danger comes back. this is vollmer peak you can see high clouds, east bay sunny for much of the morning temperatures approaching 70° if some spots. closer to home, the -- ballpark lots of sun, numbers climbing through the 60s throughout the afternoon winds picking up, live doppler 7 hd shows we still have fog left, especially over the bay around mountain view, san jose, a couple patches at our coast. this should ail clear and that will leave sunny conditions. 72 fairfield now, -- thre
another new poll has romney up 50-48% across 10 battleground states. if president obama is to be effective tomorrow night it will have to be in the town hall style debate where voters can ask questions of him and governor romney. t.j. winick, abc news, new york. >> we'll carry the debate live tomorrow night starting at 6:00. >>> i'm peeking over your shoulder lisa, i see at&t park and the fog is gone. >> should be nice this evening but the winds are going to pick up and...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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other polls say 3% or whatever. clearly, there is a movement towards mitt romney. clearly other black women will be voting for him. >> yes. >> what is your message to those out there who feel they can't because there's a black president, they feel a duty, perhaps a sense of loyalty to him because of the color of his skin to vote for him? >> what do i say to them? i say do your homework. look at your country. think about the next four years of your life. you know? also, look at mitt romney's track record as a ceo, he's excelled. as the governor of massachusetts, he did quite well. and you know, listen to what he says. i believe him. i believe he deserves a shot. >> well, whether people agree with you or not, i absolutely defend your right to be here, to vote for who you like. the idiots tweeting you are, to coin a phrase, clueless. >> oh, dear. >> stacey dash, been a pleasure to see you. >> thank you so much, piers. >> you keep battling your own corner. stacey dash has made up her mind. other female voters seem to be changing their minds. will they be the tipping po
other polls say 3% or whatever. clearly, there is a movement towards mitt romney. clearly other black women will be voting for him. >> yes. >> what is your message to those out there who feel they can't because there's a black president, they feel a duty, perhaps a sense of loyalty to him because of the color of his skin to vote for him? >> what do i say to them? i say do your homework. look at your country. think about the next four years of your life. you know? also, look at...
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you saw the ohio poll, the cnn poll that came out today. obama 51%, romney 47%. that's within the margin of error. the new hampshire poll, wmur granite state poll now has obama 47% to 41%, back in september it was obama 54%, 39% for romney. the michigan likely voters choice is now 48%, 45% obama over romney. it was ten points in september 47%, 37%. what's going on here, james? >> i think the race has tightened since the debate. i'm a democrat, so i don't attack pollsters, fact checkers, evolutionary scientists, climate scientists or anything like that. the truth of the matter is it's tightened. the poll of polls and the national numbers seems to be around one. and we'll move on with the rest of the campaign. no sense in attacking pollsters here. no doubt that governor romney has done himself some good since that debate. and we'll see where we go from here. we can say i'm not going to attack scientists or fact checkers or pollsters. >> ari, you're not attacking fact checkers or pollsters either, are you? >> last i looked. no, wolf, that's exactly right. the debate
you saw the ohio poll, the cnn poll that came out today. obama 51%, romney 47%. that's within the margin of error. the new hampshire poll, wmur granite state poll now has obama 47% to 41%, back in september it was obama 54%, 39% for romney. the michigan likely voters choice is now 48%, 45% obama over romney. it was ten points in september 47%, 37%. what's going on here, james? >> i think the race has tightened since the debate. i'm a democrat, so i don't attack pollsters, fact checkers,...
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Oct 15, 2012
10/12
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two bad debates could be loses the war. >> reporter: romney has enjoyed a post-debate bounce in the polls and a boost of confidence on the campaign trail. >> there's more flrg and passion. people are getting behind this campaign. >> at a town hall without a podium and with audience interaction, the campaign's style and body language can take on added weight. commentators said bill clinton walking toward the audience to answer a question about the recession highlighted his ability to connect with the voters. >> can we focus on the issues and not the personalities and the mud? >> reporter: analysts say the format could be good for the president. >> he will absolutely be able to draw from that energy, from the energy of the public and the crowd. >> reporter: as for romney. >> one of his big challenges during this entire campaign has been not being aible to connect with the common man and woman and child. he's got to be able to come across as corrennecting, as genuine, as caring. >> the stakes couldn't be higher. athena jones, cnn, washington. >> you can see the second presidential debate liv
two bad debates could be loses the war. >> reporter: romney has enjoyed a post-debate bounce in the polls and a boost of confidence on the campaign trail. >> there's more flrg and passion. people are getting behind this campaign. >> at a town hall without a podium and with audience interaction, the campaign's style and body language can take on added weight. commentators said bill clinton walking toward the audience to answer a question about the recession highlighted his...
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Oct 15, 2012
10/12
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mitt romney is leading in ten of the battleground states in politico's poll. trailing in the washington post political poll. what's your thought? does the governor think he can become the first republican to win without taking ohio? >> we're going to take ohio. the ground game that we put together there is exceedingly doing very, very well in terms of the number of contacts both on the phone and door to door. as you noted, he's been there quite a number of times. i think we continue to make up grounds. some of the polls have it tied. so i think in the final weeks we'll continue to make this about a clear choice in the election and governor romney will take ohio. >> take us into the back room for a second. without ohio you need to run the board here. what are your internals showing on that? how do you get florida and virginia? those are looking good? >> florida and virginia are looking good. nevada is looking great. colorado is looking great. iowa and new hampshire is looking very good as well. so i think, a, as i mentioned, i think we're going to take ohio. b,
mitt romney is leading in ten of the battleground states in politico's poll. trailing in the washington post political poll. what's your thought? does the governor think he can become the first republican to win without taking ohio? >> we're going to take ohio. the ground game that we put together there is exceedingly doing very, very well in terms of the number of contacts both on the phone and door to door. as you noted, he's been there quite a number of times. i think we continue to...
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Oct 15, 2012
10/12
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with the polls tied nationally, romney's popularity is surging. the george washington university poll puts romney in positive territory for the first time. 54% favorable,44rs unverifiable. tomorrow's debate will show each candidates' ability to connect with voters. both sides agreed in advance that the audience would drive the discussion. moderatomoderator candy crowleyn said she will ask follo follow p questions and insert herself in the debate. insiders say time will tell. joe biden was scheduled to stomach in nevada today but -- to stump in nevada today but will take part in funeral services for arlen specter who died over the weekend. romney is shown up five points with significant gains among women. the romney campaign and the republican party today reported having raised $170 million in the month of september. that compares to $181 million for the obama cap pain an campae democrats. watch the ad blitz accelerate in the next three weeks. >> we'll see you tomorrow, carl. >> bret: wall street starts the week on a positive note. the do you gaine
with the polls tied nationally, romney's popularity is surging. the george washington university poll puts romney in positive territory for the first time. 54% favorable,44rs unverifiable. tomorrow's debate will show each candidates' ability to connect with voters. both sides agreed in advance that the audience would drive the discussion. moderatomoderator candy crowleyn said she will ask follo follow p questions and insert herself in the debate. insiders say time will tell. joe biden was...